Current:Home > FinanceThe U.S. created an extraordinary number of jobs in January. Here's a deeper look -AssetLink
The U.S. created an extraordinary number of jobs in January. Here's a deeper look
View
Date:2025-04-15 01:37:22
It's Groundhog Day. And once again, the monthly jobs report has confounded forecasters.
U.S. employers added 353,000 jobs in January, according to a report from the Labor Department Friday. That's far more than analysts were expecting.
The job market has held up remarkably well, despite the Federal Reserve's effort to fight inflation with the highest interest rates in more than two decades.
The question is whether the Fed will see a shadow in the stronger-than-expected jobs market and extend our winter of elevated borrowing costs.
Policy makers might worry that such a strong labor market will keep prices higher for longer.
Here are four takeaways from Friday's report.
Demand for workers is still extraordinarily strong
Nearly every industry added jobs last month. Health care added 70,000 jobs. Business services added 74,000. Even construction and manufacturing — two industries that typically feel the drag of higher interest rates — continued to hire in January.
What's more, revised figures show job growth in November and December was stronger than initially reported.
Meanwhile, the unemployment rate held steady at a historically low 3.7%. It's been under 4% for two full years now.
More people are joining the workforce
Helping to balance the strong demand for labor is a growing supply of available workers.
Many people who were sidelined during the pandemic have since joined or re-joined the workforce — thanks in part to the possibility of remote work.
Nearly 23% of employees teleworked or worked from home last month — more than double the rate before the pandemic.
The share of people in their prime working years who are working or looking for work in January rose to 83.3%.
Immigration has also rebounded. The foreign-born workforce grew 4.3% last year, while the native-born workforce was virtually flat.
"Those two forces have significantly lowered the temperature in the labor market," said Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell this week. "It's still a good labor market for wages and for finding a job. But it's getting back into balance and that's what we want to see."
But the sizzling job market could delay a cut in interest rates
Powell said this week that he and his colleagues could start cutting interest rates this year if inflation continues to fall.
Powell cautioned, however, that a rate cut at the next Fed meeting in March is unlikely. It's probably even more unlikely after this stronger-than-expected jobs report, which showed average wages in January rising 4.5% from a year ago.
Although rising wages have not been a big driver of inflation, wage gains at that level could make it hard to get inflation all the way down to the Fed's target of 2%.
Before the jobs report, investors had been all but certain the Fed would cut interest rates by May. They're less confident now.
Productivity gains could make rising wages less worrisome
Two other reports from the Labor Department this week show less upward pressure on wages and prices.
One report tracks the labor costs borne by employers last year. It showed a smaller increase in October, November and December than the previous quarter. This "employment cost index" is considered a more reliable guide to labor expenses than the monthly wage data.
A separate report showed that workers' productivity rose by 3.2% in the fourth quarter. Rising productivity helps to offset rising wages, so employers can afford to pay more without raising prices.
"Productivity is the magic wand that keeps wages growing solidly without spiking inflation," said Nela Richardson, chief economist at the payroll processing company ADP.
veryGood! (698)
Related
- The Best Stocking Stuffers Under $25
- Amal and George Clooney Share the Romantic Way They’re Celebrating 10th Wedding Anniversary
- Key Senate race in Arizona could hinge on voters who back Trump and the Democratic candidate
- Frances Bean, Kurt Cobain's daughter, welcomes first child with Riley Hawk
- Trump's 'stop
- Rashee Rice's injury opens the door for Travis Kelce, Xavier Worthy
- Steelers' Minkah Fitzpatrick upset with controversial unnecessary roughness penalty in loss
- Is there a 'ManningCast' tonight? When Peyton, Eli Manning's ESPN broadcast returns
- 'Malcolm in the Middle’ to return with new episodes featuring Frankie Muniz
- Fontes blocked from using new rule to certify election results when counties refuse to
Ranking
- Average rate on 30
- Phillies become the hunted in MLB playoffs as NL East champs: 'We're ready for it'
- NASCAR Kansas live updates: How to watch Sunday's Cup Series playoff race
- The 26 Most Popular Amazon Products This Month: Double Chin Masks, $1 Lipstick, Slimming Jumpsuits & More
- Louvre will undergo expansion and restoration project, Macron says
- Shohei Ohtani's 50-50 game-worn pants will be included in Topps trading cards
- University imposes a one-year suspension on law professor over comments on race
- In Alabama, Trump goes from the dark rhetoric of his campaign to adulation of college football fans
Recommendation
Current, future North Carolina governor’s challenge of power
New rules regarding election certification in Georgia to get test in court
Alabama football's freshman receiver Ryan Williams is only 17, but was old enough to take down Georgia
'I will never forgive you for this': Whole Foods' Berry Chantilly cake recipe has changed
Taylor Swift makes surprise visit to Kansas City children’s hospital
Yankees' Anthony Rizzo fractures fingers in season's penultimate game
Anthony Richardson injury update: Colts QB removed with possible hip pointer injury
Knicks trade for Karl-Anthony Towns in blockbuster deal